Is the Coronavirus the apocalypse or a big nothing burger? Are the Coronavirus fears that are being propagated in the mainstream media justified by the numbers coming back from the test results? Depending on how you read the results, (or, more likely, depending on who you listen that is interpreting them, since most people never really … Read more
A fourth COVID-19 lockdown may be unavoidable if the number of severe hospitalized cases exceeds 1,200, Israel’s coronavirus czar warned at a press conference on Monday. According to Professor Salman Zarka, the Health Ministry will ask Prime Minister Naftali Bennett to instate a complete shutdown should the quality of care decline due to the pandemic. […]
Congressman Jim Jordan (R-OH) told the January 6 panel to pound sand after they asked him to provide information about his communications with Trump about the Jan. 6 Capitol protest. Rep. Jordan formally responded to the January 6 panel in a letter to the committee’s chairman, Rep. Bennie Thompson. “This request is far outside the […]
The post Rep. Jim Jordan Tells Jan. 6 Panel to Pound Sound, Rejects Legitimacy of Investigation appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes.
Patriot Front in Chicago, video screenshot. Credit: Brendon Gutenschwager/Twitter We last reported on the group, Patriot Front, that came out in Washington, D.C., last month. They marched around the Lincoln Memorial — all in masks, matching jackets, and khaki pants. They then piled out of there in U-Hauls. A lot of people speculated at the […]
The post Everyone Mocks the Matching Khaki-Clad, Patriot Front’s Latest Effort appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes.
Cambodia quarantine camp (satyobchod) The CDC announced on its website that to control the spread of disease within their borders, states have laws to enforce the use of isolation and quarantine. The law also includes the use of police power functions in their quarantine stations. “In addition to serving as medical functions, isolation and quarantine […]
The post CDC Website Reveals Police Power Will be Used at Quarantine Stations for the “Benefit of Society” appeared first on NOQ Report – Conservative Christian News, Opinions, and Quotes.
The Biden administration has done everything in its power to take focus off of the deadly botched withdrawal from Afghanistan which left the Taliban terror group to retake control. New information is surfacing on just howmuch control the Taliban has been able to hold over Biden and his administration.
Just in December, the Taliban reportedly “told the United States during talks in Doha that if the U.S. insisted on deploying 2,000 American troops at its embassy in Kabul, the Taliban would also deploy as part of any bilateral arrangement 2,000 ‘fidayeen mujahideen [i.e., suicide bombers]’ at the Afghan Embassy in Washington D.C.” reports the Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI), a watchdog group that tracks jihadi communications and media reports.
The Taliban is making it very clear it does not want any American presence in Afghanistan. Additionally the Taliban made it very clear suicide bombers will be part of their special forces in the Afghan National Army under the defense ministry.
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In an interview that occurred in the first week of January 2022, Zabihullah Mujahid, a veteran terrorist and leader in the Taliban government, told a Pashtu-language radio station “Our mujahideen in the Ishtishhadi Kandaks [martyrdom-seeking battalions] will be part of the army and [they] will be Special Forces and organized under the defense ministry,” according to MEMRI. “The Special Forces will be established in a specific number and used for special operations.”
MEMRI also reported that in July of 2021, Mujahid said in an interview with ToloNews that the Taliban has no obligation under the Doha agreement of 2020 to sever ties with Al-Qaeda because the groups is part of the Islamic faith.
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STORY AT-A-GLANCE Make Americans Free Again, led by Pam Popper, is fighting to preserve American freedoms and has a proven strategy that ensures we can win They are launching strategic legal challenges across the U.S. Rather than arguing the unconstitutionality of mandates, they challenge the legal basis of the emergency declaration that allowed the mandates […]
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The Associated Press (AP) has managed to turn the death of eight Palestinians in a West Bank car crash into a broad indictment of Israel. In fact, most of the January 6 piece, titled Road crash in West Bank kills 8 Palestinians, injures 2, isn’t even dedicated to the events and details of the accident. […]
Published on January 8, 2022Written by The Heartland Institute
Climate change prophecy hangs its hat on computer climate models, yet these models have gigantic problems.
Kevin Trenberth, who was once in charge of modeling at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, has stated “[None of the] models correspond even remotely to the current observed climate [of the Earth].”
Despite the fact that models can’t properly model the Earth’s climate, we are supposed to believe that if carbon dioxide has a certain effect in the models of Earth it will have the same effect on the real Earth.
Money and Confirmation Bias
Climate models are an exemplary representation of confirmation bias, the psychological tendency to suspend one’s critical facilities in favor of welcoming what one expects or desires. Climate scientists can manipulate numerous adjustable parameters in, or tune, the models in order to produce any desired result.
Technically, a good result would be that the climate model output can match climate history. But that good result competes with another kind of good result. That other good result is a prediction of a climate catastrophe. That sort of “good” result has elevated the social and financial status of climate science into the stratosphere.
Once money and status started flowing into climate science because of the disaster its denizens were predicting, there was no going back. Imagine that a climate scientist discovers gigantic flaws in the models and associated projections. That would open the door ending the massive flow of research dollars.
Who would continue to throw billions of dollars a year at climate scientists if there were no disasters to be prevented? Evidence shows, discoverers of flaws are demonized and attacked as as pawns of evil interests: David Legates, Richard Lindzen, Jennifer Marohasy, Roy Spencer, John Christy, Gregory Wrightstone, Tim Ball and Willie Soon, among others, come to mind.
Making Models Fit
Testing models against history and assuming they can then predict the future invites failure.
Failure is almost ensured modelers adds ever more adjustable parameters to enhance the model. At some point, one should ask if we are fitting a model to reality or doing simple curve fitting. Models that have degenerated into curve fitting, lack any serious predictive capability.
A strong indicator that climate models are well into the curve fitting regime is the use of model averaging or ensembles.
The International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) averages together numerous models (an ensemble), in order to make a projection of the future. Asked why they do this rather than work with the models that best reflect reality, they assert the ensemble method works better.
This is contrary to common sense.
In truth, various models disagree dramatically with one another about the Earth’s climate, including how big the supposed global warming catastrophe will be.
With the sole exception of the Russian Institute of Numerical Mathematics CM5 model, all the models used by the IPCC predict a catastrophic future.
The Russian model uses low ‘climate sensitivity’. All the others have high ‘climate sensitivity’.
The Russian model matches the observatioons quite closely, while the others predict what is effectively runaway warming.
There is a political reason for using ensembles. In order to receive the benefits flowing from predicting a climate catastrophe, climate science must present a unified front.
Dissenters have to be canceled and suppressed.
If the IPCC were to select the best model or models, dozens of other modeling groups would be left out. They would, no doubt, form a dissenting group questioning the authority of those that gave the crown to one particular model. Using ensembles, every group receives rewards and everyone is encouraged keep the conspiracy against humanity going.
Past as a Problem
Fitting the models to climate history is difficult because climate history is poorly documented or unknown.
There are scientific groups that specialize in examining and summarizing the vast trove of past climate history. Their summaries “improve” on the original data in ways that always seem to support global warming catastrophe.
Tony Heller’s website realclimatescience.com specializes in exposing this tampering with climate history.
Because so much of climate history is unknown, modelers make up the missing history. Each modeling team is free to make up the history that fits its narrative. It would be very surprising if modelers weren’t manipulating their fabricated climates to make their models behave better.
Scientists are always cautioned not to fall in love with a theory or method. If they do, they will lose their objectivity. Facts that support their preconceptions will be celebrated, facts that cast doubt on their love will be ignored or forgotten. But if you spend years, or decades, married to a modeling methodology, divorce becomes less and less likely.
Enter the NAS
The National Academy of Sciences (NAS) in Washington, DC touts itself as the science advisor to the government.
Their advice has some common threads.
They never criticize the scientific establishment. Also, they always promote spending more money on science. Like the teachers’ unions, they pretend to support the common good but actually promote their constituency’s special interests.
The NAS sponsored a report on the future of climate modeling.
They apparently saw nothing wrong with staffing the study committee with professional climate modelers. The report advocated more money for climate modelers and urged hiring professional public relations people to present results to the public.
‘100 Percent Junk Science’
The purported climate catastrophe ahead is 100 percent junk science.
Recent climate change is not historically unprecedented or extraordinary, nor do measured climate trends show a long-term worsening.
The Earth’s climate has always ‘changed’, and to assume the current modest warming is caused by human activity is beyond ridiculous.
In the unlikely event at climate catastrophe occurs, it will be coincidental that it was predicted by climate scientists.
See more here: heartlanddailynews.com
Header image: The Heartland Institute
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