French Research and Real-World Data Counter Omicron Hysteria

Published on December 3, 2021Written by Joel S. Hirschhorn

So much talk about Omicron; so much fear mongering; so much talk about science.  Most is nonsense.  The best research has received little attention.

It comes from esteemed, senior French scientist: Dr. Jacques Fantini (pictured), Professor of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology at the University of Aix-Marseille.
You are about to learn what senior people in the public health establishment need to use, especially Fauci who claims he speaks for and represents “science.”  If he knows the French research, he is not sharing it with the public, nor is the mainstream media.
The key scientific achievement by Fantini is the calculation of one key parameter he calls the index of transmissibility (T) of a COVID variant.  The key work was published in June 2021 with the title “Structural dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants: A health monitoring strategy for anticipating Covid-19 outbreaks.”  This research is very sophisticated, detailed and challenging.  Genomic sequence data are used in the analyses of variants.
The molecular details of variants are analyzed to calculate T values for COVID variants.  Originally, T values for known variants or strains of the COVID virus were determined.  The T value for the Delta variant done in early 2021 accurately predicted the surge of Delta throughout the world, making it the dominant variant in many countries, including the US.
The T value accurately describes to what extent a variant is or is not very transmissible.  The higher the value of T, the greater is the ease at which a variant is spread from one person to another.  The higher the value, the more contagious is the variant.  Fantini said how T values could serve a critical need: “T-index can be used as a health monitoring strategy to anticipate future Covid-19 outbreaks.”  At this moment, the question is “Is the T value for Omicron of concern?”
So, now look at the following table that gives T values for the original five variants published by Fantini, plus what he has just released for the new Omicron variant.

Variant

T-index

Initial Wuhan

2.16

UK – Alpha

3.59

Brazil – Gamma

3.65

South Africa – Beta

3.82

Delta

10.67

Omicron

3.90

Delta stands out for having an extremely high T value compared to previous variants.  No surprise that it quickly became the dominant variant globally.
And equally impressive is the relatively low T value for Omicron, just 37 percent of the Delta value.  Omicron should not be of high concern by people and nations.  It is in line with most pre-Delta variants.  It is not exceptional.  There is no scientific basis for all the hysteria about Omicron.  As shown below, most people assessed with Omicron were vaccinated and got breakthrough infections showing vaccines offer little protection.
Additional observations
Note that the higher the T value it is also likely the less effective are current vaccines for defending against the variant and protecting people from it (as real-world data given below show).  However, the higher T value does not imply greater lethality.  As is known by virologists, variants are smart enough to not kill their victims, which would also kill them and prevent them from spreading.  Thus, high T value variants spread easily, can cause health impacts but do not necessarily kill people at a high rate.
Fantini said this: “For Omicron, the mutations go in all directions, without any particular logic, some annihilating each other.  The mutational profiles …suggest that neutralizing antibodies [from vaccine immunity] will have very low activity on this variant.  …This analysis of the Omicron variant suggests that this variant will not supplant Delta.”  In other words, with far less spreading potential, Omicron is not likely to replace the much higher transmissible Delta prevalent globally.  Even though reports keep coming in from different nations that Omicron has been found.
More positive insights had to do with the more than 30 mutations and exactly where they were located in the molecule.  “The affinity of the Omicron … for ACE-2 [cellular material that causes infection] is decreased compared to all other variants analyzed to date, probably as a consequence of this accumulation of mutations.”  Fantini is saying that Omicron is not only not as highly transmissible as Delta, it is also not as infectious.
Worth remembering is that all the current COVID vaccines were designed to address the earliest COVID virus molecule.  Thus, they do not protect very well against later variants that have considerable mutations.  Is protection zero?  No.  Current vaccines offer limited defense against variants because they only aim at a small fraction of the virus molecule components.
Vaccine problems
In a more recent article, Fantini and an associate said: there is a “progressive loss of immunity induced by the two doses of vaccines directed against the spike protein” because current vaccines are not designed to defend against recent variants, including Delta and Omicron.  Moreover, “the third vaccine [booster] dose can have serious long-term side effects due to the “ADE” phenomenon (Antibody-dependent enhancement: facilitation of infection by antibodies).
The benefit/risk ratio would be unfavorable.”  In other words, like other researchers, they see the negative impact of current COVID vaccines that reduce protection offered by a person’s immune system.  What is being said is that antibodies not only offer little protection but, instead, facilitate viral infection and promote release of new mutations or variants.  This is consistent with considerable data showing correlations between higher vaccination rates and higher death rates at the national level.
This too was noted: “The immune response to SARS-CoV-2, whether natural or vaccine-induced, produces antibodies directed against the spike protein.  In the case of mRNA vaccines, the only molecular target is the spike protein.  In the case of natural infection with the virus, the immune response [natural immunity] is directed against several viral proteins, including the spike protein.
In all cases, the spike protein is therefore crucial.  However, SARS-CoV-2 is an RNA virus that mutates a lot, and many mutations affect the spike protein, which disturbs its recognition by antibodies.”  The bottom line is that vaccine immunity is inferior to natural immunity, because the former was designed for the earliest strain and only targets a small fraction of the complex COVID molecule.
Real world data show no severe illness and no protection from vaccines
The forecast by Fantini about Omicron is consistent with information flowing in.  Specifically, vaccines will have little impact on Omicron transmission or infectivity.  For example, Reuters reported: “Four people in southern Germany have tested positive for the Omicron COVID-19 variant even though they were fully vaccinated against the coronavirus said officials.”  Moreover, “All four showed moderate symptoms.”
Previously it was highlighted, according to the Botswana government, the Omicron variant was first detected in four people who were fully vaccinated.  And information from South Africa is that Omicron caused mild symptoms and no patients needed hospitalization, and that the European Union’s public health body said that they’ve found 44 cases containing the omicron variant in 10 of their member countries, all of which had mild or asymptomatic illness.”
Also reported was that “Two quarantined travelers in Hong Kong who have tested positive for the variant were vaccinated with the Pfizer jab.  All three initial confirmed and suspected cases reported from Israel occurred among fully vaccinated individuals.  And an Israeli doctor revealed that he had been infected with Omicron despite being triple vaccinated also wearing a mask.
In Australia, “New South Wales state authorities reported that two travelers from South Africa to Sydney had become Australia’s first omicron cases.  Both were fully vaccinated, showed no symptoms.”  A person in San Francisco was reported to have traveled from South Africa, had mild symptoms and had been vaccinated.  Interestingly, officials said they had contacted everyone who had close contact with the person and they had all tested negative.
Meanwhile, everything that Fauci has said is completely inconsistent with actual data as well as what Fantini has forecast.  Everything he has said seems clearly aimed at instilling fear about Omicron so that invasive, authoritarian government actions and continued push for vaccines could be justified.
Conclusions
A review of studies found unequivocally that COVID vaccines do not stop viral transmission, with no difference between vaccinated and unvaccinated people.  So, all real-world evidence is that Omicron cannot be effectively addressed by COVID vaccines.  Together with Fantini’s work the proper conclusion it that Omicron will not be very transmissible nor be more infective than Delta.
Because mutations will continue to produce variants, it is critically important to use the work of Fantini.  To accurately assess whether or not a new variant should evoke the fears and government responses that have sprung up so quickly for Omicron.
About the author: Dr. Joel S. Hirschhorn, author of Pandemic Blunder and many articles and podcasts on the pandemic, worked on health issues for decades, and his Pandemic Blunder Newsletter is on Substack. As a full professor at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, he directed a medical research program between the colleges of engineering and medicine.  As a senior official at the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment and the National Governors Association, he directed major studies on health-related subjects; he testified at over 50 US Senate and House hearings and authored hundreds of articles and op-ed articles in major newspapers.  He has served as an executive volunteer at a major hospital for more than 10 years.  He is a member of the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, and America’s Frontline Doctors.
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Why the Pandemic Will Not End: Mass Vaccination Fails

Published on November 24, 2021Written by Joel S. Hirschhorn

Big Government, Big Pharma and Big Media have colluded to keep pushing mass COVID vaccination despite all the evidence that it is not stopping spread of the virus.  High vaccination rates are not producing good results in many countries.

Americans may not be mentally prepared to hear the really bad news.  The COVID pandemic is not going to end.  What the government is doing (and not doing) will ensure no end to the pandemic.
Just released is a new forecast of the coming COVID death toll on March 1, 2022.  It comes from the group that has been doing the most thorough studies and modeling of the US pandemic.  It is the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), an independent global health research center at the University of Washington.  It forecasts a total of one million COVID deaths by that date.
That means in about 3.5 months there will be another roughly 250,000 COVID deaths.  That is over 70,000 deaths a month.  That compares to about 65,000 a month since the pandemic began.  Does that sound like progress?  Does that sound like the mass vaccination effort is the solution?
Their projection may underestimate what will be happening because “That forecast may be optimistic because we have not yet built into the modeling that we are releasing right now the explicit analysis around waning immunity for vaccine-derived immunity.”  And there is now a strong consensus among medical experts that current vaccines lose their effectiveness in about six months.  That is why booster shots are now being pushed so hard.
An endless pandemic will mean billions of dollars going to big drug companies for vaccines and a new group of expensive pills announced by Merck and Pfizer; the US government is paying $700 for the former and $500 for the later treatment.  They want to compete with cheap, established early treatment protocols, including use of ivermectin.
Here is the crucial point to keep in mind.  Current vaccines, including booster shots, do not kill the virus and do not prevent spread of the virus from fully vaccinated people.  And the loss of effectiveness, especially for variants like delta, explains why countless more people will get breakthrough infections that are killing some people, like what happened to Colin Powell recently.
Breakthrough deaths fit into the category of COVID deaths.  On November 15 Fauci admitted: “[Vaccinated people] are seeing a waning of immunity not only against infection but hospitalization and death.  It’s waning to the point that you’re seeing more people getting breakthrough infections and winding up in the hospital.”
And on November 19 the head of the World Health Organization admitted that the pandemic was surging in countries with high vaccination rates, because vaccines do not stop transmission of the virus.
This is the ultimate truth: We cannot vaccinate our way out of the pandemic.  When more reliable data in other countries are considered, compared to awful data from the CDC, we see that very large fractions of people being hospitalized or dying from COVID are fully vaccinated.  Booster shots just create the illusion of doing something really effective.  Mostly, they just postpone bad health impacts.
The entire emphasis by our government on vaccines is the biggest mistake in the history of medicine and pandemic management.  As many recent analyses have shown, the CDC data are undercounting both adverse health impacts of vaccines and deaths.
Steve Kirsch has done a good summary analysis of CDC data undercounting.  Here are some excerpts:

“The COVID vaccines are the most dangerous vaccines in human history.  They are 800 times more deadly than the smallpox vaccine which was the previous record holder.  The vaccines have killed over 150,000 Americans and permanently disabled even more.  They don’t make sense for anyone of any age.  The younger you are, the worse it gets.  For kids, it is estimated that we kill 117 kids for every COVID death we prevent.”
“So we are ‘saving’ fewer than 10,000 lives at the expense of over 150,000 (vaccine) deaths.  In short, we kill 15 people to save 1.  That’s incredibly stupid.”

Full details defining the vaccine dystopia we have entered are available.
The eminent Dr. Peter McCollough has emphasized: “You are about five times as likely to die of the vaccine than you are to take your risks with COVID-19.  Therefore, those who ‘chose not to get the vaccine,’ in fact ‘made a smarter choice.’”  Another point made is that those who have recovered from the disease and have natural immunity have a 56 percent greater chance of severe side-effects should they afterwards take the jab.
Yet a new CDC survey found that 60 percent of those who have natural immunity said they were also fully vaccinated.
When such a recognized medical expert says these things, the anti-mandate movement receives credibility.
A recent medical research article said: “A novel best-case scenario cost-benefit analysis showed very conservatively that there are five times the number of deaths attributable to each inoculation vs those attributable to COVID-19 in the most vulnerable 65+ demographic.”  It was also noted that several studies:

“have shown independently that the deaths following inoculation are not coincidental and are strongly related to inoculation through strong clustering around the time of injection.  …Our independent analyses of the VAERS database confirmed these clustering findings.”

“This virus may never go away,” said Dr. Michael Ryan of the World Health Organization.  “I don’t think anyone can predict when or if this disease will disappear,” he said.
Sarah Zhang has recently made some incisive observations about the never-ending pandemic.  Here is what she said:

“The coronavirus becomes endemic, and we live with it forever.  But what we don’t know—and what the U.S. seems to have no coherent plan for—is how we are supposed to get there.”  But talking about an endemic just means a constantly maintained level of COVID-19 infections and transmissions.  It means living with the pandemic, but just calling it an endemic.

It is a poor semantic solution and deceit as long as there are high levels of hospitalizations and deaths for COVID, and as long as there are continuing lockdowns, vaccine mandates and passports, and other disruptions of normal living.
Here are more words of wisdom:

“The Delta variant and waning immunity against transmission mean herd immunity may well be impossible even if every single American gets a shot.  So when COVID-related restrictions came back with the Delta wave, we no longer had an obvious off-ramp to return to normal—are we still trying to get a certain percentage of people vaccinated?  Or are we waiting until all kids are eligible?  Or for hospitalizations to fall and stay steady?  The path ahead is not just unclear; it’s nonexistent.  We are meandering around the woods because we don’t know where to go.”
“But the level of COVID-19 risk we can live with is also not an entirely scientific question. It is a social and political one that involves balancing both the costs and benefits of restrictions and grappling with genuine pandemic fatigue among the public.”
“The Delta variant and waning immunity against transmission mean herd immunity may well be impossible even if every single American gets a shot.”

Accepting the ugly reality that the pandemic will not end is consistent with the findings of a recent medical research article titled “Increases in COVID-19 are unrelated to levels of vaccination across 68 countries and 2947 counties in the United States.”  The clear meaning is that mass vaccination does not work effectively to eliminate COVID impacts.
Here is a main conclusion:

“The sole reliance on vaccination as a primary strategy to mitigate COVID-19 and its adverse consequences needs to be re-examined, especially considering the Delta variant and the likelihood of future variants.”

Indeed, it is clear that a number of countries, including Gibraltar, with high vaccination rates are still fighting serious COVID outbreaks and impacts, including Israel now pushing booster shots.  When Israel rolled out boosters in August, they also saw spikes in infections and deaths.
Should everyone get booster shots?  Especially, those with natural immunity from prior infection and vaccine immunity from full vaccination?  This is called hybrid immunity.  Here is what MedPage Today said:

“With a COVID-19 booster shot available for a segment of the U.S. population, an emerging group may wonder if they really need it — those with “hybrid immunity.”

These are the people who are fully vaccinated but have also recovered from a case of COVID-19.  Mounting evidence is clear: a bout with the virus does provide extra immunity, making a booster shot helpful but not necessary, experts say.
If you have hybrid immunity, “I would call yourself a victor,” said Paul Offit, MD, the director of the Vaccine Education Center at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia. ‘Call it a victory and bow out.’”
Yet many groups seem on the verge of saying that without a booster shot people will not be considered fully vaccinated and booster mandates are being discussed.
Justin Hart from Rational Ground who digs into CDC data has concluded: “The vaccines — as we always say — can help (perhaps) with severe disease but there’s no evidence they quell the pandemic overall.”
What the government has failed to do is promote valid alternatives to COVID vaccines.  It has not used a flexible policy using personalized medicine principles that would support use of generic medicines to treat and prevent COVID infection and restore medical freedom.
For example, using fluvoxamine that a recent journal article said was effective, as well as ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine.  Nor has the government fully recognized and given mandate credit for natural immunity obtained from prior COVID infection, and that considerable data have shown is better than vaccine immunity.
This should be clear: Vaccine mandates will not end the pandemic.  But there is no hint that government leaders are interested in taking a new fresh approach to addressing the pandemic.  Hundreds of thousands of people will die unnecessarily in the US and even more globally.  More deadly than the virus are feckless government officials.
Bold emphasis added
About the author: Dr. Joel S. Hirschhorn, author of Pandemic Blunder and many articles, podcasts and radio shows on the pandemic, worked on health issues for decades.  His work is available on Substack as the Pandemic Blunder Newsletter.  As a full professor at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, he directed a medical research program between the colleges of engineering and medicine. 
As a senior official at the Congressional Office of Technology Assessment and the National Governors Association, he directed major studies on health-related subjects; he testified at over 50 US Senate and House hearings.  He has served as an executive volunteer at a major hospital for more than 10 years.  He is a member of the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, and America’s Frontline Doctors.
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CDC Re-defined the Term ‘Vaccine’ to Legitimize Deficient Pharma Products

Published on November 16, 2021Written by Joel S. Hirschhorn

The CDC once was a federal agency that nearly everyone respected.  That no longer is the case.

Now there are many reasons why CDC should be widely disrespected and most of its data and studies viewed as garbage.
Its latest debacle is how it changed the definition of vaccine.
Just imagine this: The entire push for COVID “vaccines” was based on a lie – they did not meet the official CDC definition of a vaccine.  By doing this the government could coerce the entire population to get the shot.  Calling them “vaccines” was the biggest lie from Fauci and the key to drug companies making many billions of dollars.
Why would the government’s key public health agency change the definition of what a vaccine is in the midst of a pandemic?  After millions of Americans have taken the shot?  And millions more are being beaten into taking it for the first time and others to get booster shots.
Words matter
Here is the key point.  It became widely recognized by medical experts and informed citizens that COVID vaccines clearly did not fit the official CDC vaccine definition.  CDC thought the answer was not to fix what was deficient with the COVID vaccines or stop their use by most people as so many medical experts advised.
Their response was to change the vaccine definition to fit the so-called vaccines.
This was done so that vaccine mandates could keep getting pushed by the government.  Of course, the COVID “vaccines” should be referred to as gene therapy products, even better than calling them experimental vaccines.
To see how corrupt this action by CDC was, it is necessary to examine the details of the vaccine definition debacle.
Prior to September 1, 2021 here is how CDC defined vaccine:
A product that stimulates a person’s immune system to produce immunity to a specific disease, protecting the person from that disease.  Vaccines are usually administered through needle injections, but can also be administered by mouth or sprayed into the nose.
This definition had been used for years and it makes sense.  No expert or sensible citizen would find fault with it.  But did it honestly apply to the COVID vaccines?
Then this is what CDC concocted:
A preparation that is used to stimulate the body’s immune response against diseases.  Vaccines are usually administered through needle injections, but some can be administered by mouth or sprayed into the nose.
Here is what CDC also said:
Immunity: Protection from an infectious disease.  If you are immune to a disease, you can be exposed to it without becoming infected.
Think about that last sentence: You can be exposed to COVID without being infected; but we know that is not true for fully vaccinated people who still get infected.
This is the key language in the original definition:
“stimulates a person’s immune system to produce immunity to a specific disease, protecting the person from that disease.”
How rational to invoke the purpose of a vaccine to stimulate an immune system to produce immunity to a specific disease that protects the recipient from that disease.  Exactly what everyone for years thought was the correct way to think about a vaccine.  People want permanent protection from the COVID infection disease.
But now CDC has taken out the language referring to getting immunity for a specific disease and getting protection from that disease.
Now, COVID vaccines do not have to directly produce immunity.  No, now they only have to stimulate the body’s immune system.
You don’t get immunity because COVID vaccines do not directly produce immunity.  They do not directly kill the COVID virus.  Vaccinated people can still have high viral loads and also transmit the virus to others.  While some individuals may get some health benefits from COVID shots, they do not necessarily protect the entire population.  This is why mandates to get everyone the shots really do not make sense from a public health perspective, that Alexander has well substantiated.
Apparently, the only logical way to understand what CDC has done is to accept the truth belatedly seen by CDC that COVID vaccines do not, in fact, produce effective immunity for COVID infection and do not provide effective protection, once vaccinated, from that infection.
Much of the public surely does not yet know what CDC has acknowledged for the COVID vaccines.  Odds are that everyone who depends on mainstream media for good information about the pandemic has not been informed about what CDC has done and its implications.
The new vaccine definition, if publicly known, would reduce public confidence in current COVID vaccines.  You don’t have to be a medical expert to see how the new definition has been created to accommodate COVID shots.
In fact, these definition changes reflect what is now known about the limitations of the COVID vaccines.
Fully vaccinated people can still get COVID disease, referred to as breakthrough infections that, contrary to what the government says, can be very serious, often requiring hospitalization and sometimes causing death, as was the case for Colin Powell.  Such serious effects have been well discussed by Kampf.   Other times, breakthrough infections greatly disrupt lives, as recently described by Madrigal, a strong proponent of COVID shots.
Moreover, the COVID vaccines are now widely known from considerable clinical evidence to lose their effectiveness typically in about six months.  And even worse, they do not provide hardly any protection against variants like the delta variant.  Same disease but from a different virus in terms of its complex genetic makeup.
So, befitting the new CDC definition the COVID shots really do not have long lasting effective immunity to the specific COVID infection caused by all variants.
Elsewhere on the CDC website is a glossary of many terms; here is what is especially relevant to the debate about COVID vaccines:

Attenuated vaccine: A vaccine in which a live microbe is weakened (attenuated) through chemical or physical processes in order to produce an immune response without causing the severe effects of the disease.  Attenuated vaccines currently licensed in the United States include measles, mumps, rubella, varicella, rotavirus, yellow fever, smallpox, and some formulations of influenza, and typhoid vaccines.

Most people would read this and find that it fits with what they think of as vaccines that have been routinely taken by most people, especially children.  Clearly, COVID vaccines do not fit this definition.  But seeing this established view of vaccines helps explain why so many people resist and reject the COVID shots.  They are so fundamentally different than long accepted and used vaccines.
Natural Immunity
One of the biggest pandemic scandals is that the government refuses to give full credit to natural immunity that people get from once being infected by the COVID virus.  It should be officially recognized as equivalent to “vaccine” immunity.
The following CDC glossary definition is especially relevant:

Active immunity: The production of antibodies against a specific disease by the immune system.  Active immunity can be acquired in two ways, either by contracting the disease or through vaccination.  Active immunity is usually permanent, meaning an individual is protected from the disease for the duration of their lives.

This CDC definition of active immunity recognizes that you can get it by contracting the disease versus through vaccination.  In other words, it recognizes what today is commonly called natural immunity achieved by once being infected by the COVID virus.
And that such immunity is likely permanent and better than vaccine immunity, as recent clinical studies substantiate.  But it also infers that active immunity obtained through vaccination is also permanent, which clearly is not the case for COVID shots, as evidenced by breakthrough infections.
Also note that it has recently been revealed that CDC has not been able to provide any proof of at least one instance of an unvaccinated, naturally immune individual transmitting the COVID-19 virus to another individual.
And a new study found that almost 60 percent of the people with antibodies had no idea they had even had COVID at all.  But they would have natural immunity.  Quite consistent with the reality that most people suffer no significant health impacts from being infected with the COVID virus, regardless of all the fear mongering by Fauci and others.
Conclusion
To sum up, a close look at what CDC has done lately reinforces the thinking of millions of people who have reservations and concerns about getting COVID genetic therapy shots that pose myriad adverse impacts and sometimes death.
There is a rational, science basis for thinking that the limited benefits of those shots do not adequately offset their risks.  This is true for the vast majority of healthy people, especially children, who have extremely low risk from COVID infection for serious illness, hospitalization or death.
Mandates that do not recognize natural immunity are merely a sham tactic to make money for drug companies.
How interesting it would be, in the context of informed consent, if people were shown the original and new CDC vaccine definitions as a means to stimulate productive discussion with medical providers of COVID shots.
Header image: Associated Press / David Goldman
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